The 51% Ghost: Dissecting the Predictive Market on Iran’s Next Move
Tracing the ghost in the smart contract state, I found a probability: 51% YES...
Research
•
0xCobie
•
2026-07-21
Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$66,542.1 | +1.74% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$1,924.64 | +1.38% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$78 | +0.57% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$574.8 | +0.24% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.15 | +3.57% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0733 | +0.30% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.1739 | +4.70% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$6.62 | +0.50% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.8519 | +3.71% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$8.67 | +1.59% |
Fear & Greed
25
Extreme Fear
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202622
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Altseason Index
43
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Tag Hub
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$66,542.1
1
Ethereum
ETH
$1,924.64
1
Solana
SOL
$78
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$574.8
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.15
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0733
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.1739
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$6.62
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8519
1
Chainlink
LINK
$8.67
🐋 Whale Tracker
🟢
0x2fc0...1eb2
12h ago
In
20,308 BNB
🔴
0x85f5...1dd0
3h ago
Out
7,688,752 DOGE
🔵
0xd782...e546
5m ago
Stake
48,898 SOL
💡 Smart Money
0x3f81...0ac2
Institutional Custody
-$2.2M
85%
0xfa65...b696
Market Maker
+$3.9M
81%
0xa077...687a
Arbitrage Bot
+$3.0M
75%
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